Khamenei advises tactical retreat, but warns against trusting the West

In his characteristic ambiguous style, Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei hinted at a willingness to "cooperate" with the West while warning the government about the dangers of placing trust in them.

“Let us not place our hopes in the enemy, nor should we await their approval for our plans. This does not preclude engaging with them when necessary—there’s no harm. However, do not rely on them, and trust in the enemy is misplaced," Khamenei said on Tuesday.

In his first meeting with President Masoud Pezeshkian's cabinet, Khamenei fueled speculation of a possible shift toward a softer foreign policy, though not without his trademark dose of skepticism.

"No plan is without its challenges," he remarked. "For some, the instinctive response to obstacles is a retreat, but this is a flawed approach. Instead, one must either overcome the hurdle or find a way to circumvent it. While there may be times when a tactical retreat becomes necessary after all avenues have been explored, it is crucial not to abandon one's position or resolve at the first sign of difficulty," Khamenei added.

Since Masoud Pezeshkian's election, murmurs of dialogue with the West have grown, signaling a potential shift toward negotiations on nuclear issues. While Tehran's rhetoric fluctuates, it remains steadfast on red lines like terrorism sponsorship. How they intend to lift crippling sanctions while maintaining these positions is yet to be seen.

Two weeks ago, Khamenei had adopted a more aggressive yet still ambiguous tone. He condemned the "enemy’s psychological warfare" intended to dissuade Iran and warned that any retreat—whether military, political, or economic—that lacks “tactical prudence” would invite "divine wrath," as cautioned in the Holy Quran.

At Tuesday’s meeting, Khamenei also confirmed he had vetted the ministers well before their parliamentary approval.

"The President sought my counsel in selecting the ministers. I endorsed several, emphasized the importance of others, and remained neutral on many whom I was unfamiliar with," Khamenei said on Tuesday.

Last week, in his final address before the cabinet vote, Pezeshkian revealed that Khamenei approved every minister and personally persuaded at least one hesitant candidate to step up.

In the first meeting of the new cabinet, Khamenei confirmed the claim but with a nuanced twist, noting that while he had reviewed the list, he was unfamiliar with many of the nominees—this subtle remark left room for future maneuvering, a hallmark of Khamenei’s strategic ambiguity.

Historically, it has been understood that Khamenei plays a decisive role in selecting key ministers—specifically those of Intelligence, Interior, Defense, and Foreign Affairs. Yet, no sitting president had previously admitted to such direct pre-approval.

Pezeshkian’s openness, paired with Khamenei’s carefully measured response, has led to renewed scrutiny of the system's democratic pretensions. Some reformist observers speculate that Pezeshkian might be laying the groundwork to shift blame to Khamenei if his administration falters. However, Khamenei has never shied away from disowning those he's endorsed—most notably former President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, whom Khamenei staunchly defended in the face of the 2009 protests, despite widespread allegations of electoral fraud.