Bolton Foresees Regime Change In Iran After Khamenei's Death

Former US national security adviser John Bolton said that the death of Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei could expose vulnerability and offer an opportunity for regime change in Iran.

Speaking at a Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs (JCPA) webinar titled "Supporting Iran’s Quest for Democracy and the Urgency of Europe Proscribing Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps" on Thursday, Bolton highlighted the unique window of opportunity that Khamenei's death could present for a democratic transition in the nation.

Bolton emphasized the delicate state of affairs in Iran due to the advanced age and recurrent health issues of Ali Khamenei, currently 84 years old. He noted that the absence of a clear succession plan within the Islamic Republic further exacerbates the challenges of maintaining stability during the transition of power. Bolton's analysis suggests that this critical juncture could be leveraged to weaken the influence of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), thereby fostering a more conducive environment for democratic change.

"Pressuring the IRGC in the lead-up to and during this transition phase could expose its vulnerabilities," Bolton stated. However, he cautioned against complacency, warning that failing to address the IRGC's influence could empower the organization to exert even greater control during this transitional period.

Israeli Intelligence Minister Gila Gamliel, another prominent voice at the webinar, stressed the moral imperative of categorizing the IRGC as a terrorist organization. Gamliel urged the EU and UK to proscribe the IRGC as a means to counteract its role in terrorism and hostage-taking. She underscored that swift action is pivotal in preparing the path for a democratic Iran, allowing its people to experience freedom and self-determination.